Keir Starmer was the subject of Old Moore’s 2026 Predictions. These predictions were made in November 2025, and it seems that another prediction is coming true. Old Moore’s Almanac has never been shy about calling the big moments before they arrive. For centuries, this publication has peered through the fog of the coming year and delivered its verdicts plainly, trusting time to do the rest.
So when the 2026 edition of Old Moore’s declared that Keir Starmer was finished, readers may have raised an eyebrow. Today, on the 13th of May 2026, those eyebrows can come back down.
The scene unfolding at Westminster this week has the feel of a slow-motion collapse. Around 80 Labour MPs have called on Starmer to step down following the party’s devastating local election losses. He was forced to tell a divided cabinet on Tuesday that he had no intention of going anywhere.
Keir Starmer holds on
That a sitting prime minister must defend his position to his own senior ministers in Downing Street speaks volumes.
The rot, of course, did not begin this week. By January 2026, polling suggested that 75% of people held an unfavourable view of Starmer, a net favourability rating of -57, a figure only previously matched by Liz Truss. His government, which arrived in 2024 on a wave of relief and optimism after fourteen years of Conservative rule, burned through public goodwill at a remarkable pace.
The decision to cut the winter fuel allowance during a cost-of-living crisis, the handling of Gaza, and the Mandelson scandal all took their toll.
Recent elections
Then came the local elections. Labour lost control of 35 councils and nearly 1,500 councillors, with projected national vote share placing the party at just 17%, level with the Conservatives and roughly half what they won at the general election. The newcomer Reform party led by Nigel Farage scooped up seats in what could only be called a wipeout.
Old Moore’s Almanac does not take political sides. It simply reads what the stars and the cycles of history are already writing, and sets it down plainly for those with eyes to see. The 2026 Almanac saw this coming. The only question now is not whether Starmer is finished, it is how long the ending takes.
As the old almanac wisdom holds: the forecast is not the storm. But when the storm arrives, it is good to have been warned.
