Old Moore’s 2018 Predictions: the Post-Mortem

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Old Moore’s Almanac, that much-loved institution, has been published annually since 1764. Over the course of its long history, it has intrigued and fascinated readers with its amazingly accurate predictions.

While the magazine is the place to go for the full range of predictions, our in-house psychic also gives us a selection of predictions for our website followers each year. We’ve decided to take a look back at these 2018 predictions to see how many he nailed.

Prediction 1: Volcanoes, ferocious weather, earthquakes, storms, hurricanes, floods, worst monsoons ever

An easy one to start off with – it seems to be par for the course these days that we’ll suffer these events every year. Nevertheless, 2018 was one of the most active hurricane seasons on record in the Northern hemisphere. Sadly, there were devastating earthquakes in Indonesia as well as two magnitude 7.0+ quakes in Alaska. It was a year of record-breaking heat, which brought drought, crop damage and fierce wildfires.

In Ireland, we even had ferocious weather of our own during 2018: the ‘Big Snow’ of late February. The country shut down for three days, but the real crisis took hold when shops ran out of bread and milk. 

meme: man buying bread and milk due to threat of snowPrediction 2: Scientology will face serious hurdles and scandals in Ireland

The Church of Scientology was the subject of an RTE documentary last December. It revealed that the organization (with just 87 members here at the last census) doctored promotional videos to give the impression of a much higher membership to new recruits. In November, the Irish Times published a story about a dispute between the Church of Scientology and Irish planning authority An Bord Pleanála. The dispute involved a controversial scientology drug rehab center, the building of which was near completion when its planning exemption was revoked.

Prediction 3: Antarctica in the news again in 2018

Another one in the bag for Old Moore, although a worrying one for the welfare of the planet. It emerged last year that glaciers in East Antarctica, previously thought to be relatively stable due to freezing sea temperatures, are melting.

 coastline of antarctica

Prediction 4: Wildfires in Australia

While wildfires in Australia are nothing new, 2018’s wildfire season made international news. Their record-breaking severity saw them spread to areas not previously affected.

Prediction 5: Kim Jong-Un is at risk from an inside job

While we’re not aware of any threat to Kim Jong-Un’s life, reports did reach the media last summer that he feared an assassination attempt during his trip to Singapore to meet Donald Trump. This trip was the furthest Kim Jong-Un has travelled since taking power, and as North Korea has no air force to speak of, he had to to travel on a civilian air liner, making him more vulnerable to attack.

Prediction 6: Satellite/space equipment hacking story

This is a really interesting one that Old Moore nailed. In June 2018, a story broke about computers that controlled satellites in the US and South-East Asia. Apparently, they had been infected by hackers operating from computers in China.

Prediction 7: US and Japan strengthen their alliance

In September the US and Japan agreed to begin trade deal negotiations. More recently, it has emerged that Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe nominated President Trump for a Nobel Peace Prize in 2018. However, it’s been claimed the nomination happened on foot of an unofficial request from the US government – so we’re not sure if this one counts or not!

 Prediction 8: Drone attack

There were, in fact, two big stories involving drone attacks last year. In August, Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro was reportedly attacked by drones carrying explosives. And in December, thousands of Christmas holiday plans were disrupted when flights at London Gatwick airport were suspended following sightings of drones.

row of suitcases

Prediction 9: Italian economic woes

It’s no secret that the Italian economy has been in poor health for some years. However, 2018 saw things take a turn for the worse. Despite a rise in the country’s borrowing costs and spiraling national debt, the newly-elected government sought to borrow more money to make good on its election promises. The second half of 2018 saw a drop in domestic demand and consumer confidence, plus an increase in unemployment.

Prediction 10: Seismic activity for Australia and New Zealand

Three quakes measuring 5.7, 4.7 and 5.4, were recorded last year at Lake Muir in Western Australia. Two strong quakes were recorded in New Zealand’s North Island.

 Prediction 11: Nasty new super bug for 2018

A new drug-resistant superbug, capable of causing severe infection, or even death, was found to be spreading in hospitals last year, as reported in The Medical Xpress.

 Prediction 12: A “blood moon” or a “blue moon” will be in the news

July 2018 brought us a blood moon eclipse, the longest total lunar eclipse of the 21st century, during which the moon took on a red hue.

photo showing moon phases

Prediction 13: Crop damage and prices of vegetable and fruit rise

As we all know only too well, three consecutive days of Irish sunshine is a cause for celebration. So, most of us couldn’t believe our luck while we basked in heatwave conditions last summer. But farmers and growers weren’t so happy. The high temperatures caused crop damage, and not just in Ireland but across Europe.

Prediction 14: Trump’s approval rating will continue to rise

This one is a puzzle to many, but Old Moore saw it coming! Trump has maintained, even increased, his support. He started the year on an approval rating of 37.9% and ended it on 41.5% according to FiveThirtyEight.

Prediction 15: Parts of Europe will be in drought, while other parts suffer floods

This was indeed the case. Heatwave conditions took hold across much of Europe, with temperatures in Spain and Portugal reaching highs of 116°F. Flash floods hit France in August, and October brought floods to Italy, Mallorca, France, Portugal and the U. K.

Prediction 16: Irish YouTuber goes global

Irishman Jacksepticeye (aka Seán McLoughlin) made it onto the Forbes Top 10 Youtube Earners list with earnings of $16m.

Of course, even Old Moore (as we affectionately call our psychic) doesn’t get it right 100% of the time. Some of his 2018 predictions didn’t come to pass: Syria didn’t split, Tony Blair didn’t return to the spotlight (apart from occasional statements about Brexit), and there was no volcanic eruption in Iceland. But, here at the Almanac we never say never when it comes to Old Moore’s predictions – sometimes he’s just a little bit ahead of himself!

There were some long-term outliers included with the 2018 predictions: Hilary Clinton at risk of passing over within a couple of years, a violent death for OJ Simpson, and the possibility that Mike Pence will be president due to health concerns for Trump. Keep an eye on those ones over the coming months.

So, it looks like another successful year of predictions for Old Moore. We don’t know how he does it! Intrigued? Then check out his predictions for 2019. Or if that’s not enough for you, you can see the full range of predictions in the 2019 Almanac. Everything’s in there – from celebrities and politics to economic trends and weather events.

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