2025 Predictions That Came True: For centuries, Old Moore’s Almanac has fascinated readers with its bold predictions about the year ahead. 2025 proved to be another remarkable year for the ancient publication, with dozens of its forecasts materialising in ways both tragic and transformative. From papal transitions to plane crashes, from AI awakening to dating app decline, here’s a comprehensive look at what Old Moore got right.
Global Leadership and Religious Upheaval
Change of Pope
Perhaps one of the most significant predictions, Old Moore foresaw a change in papal leadership. Pope Francis died on April 21, 2025, at age 88 from a stroke and heart failure, triggering a papal transition that sparked global mourning for the devout.
The Charlie Kirk Effect: A Religious Revival
Old Moore predicted “a mass return to religion” and that “lines will be drawn at religion, rather than geography.” This materialised in an unexpected and tragic way. The assassination of conservative activist Charlie Kirk on September 10, 2025, at Utah Valley University triggered what became known as the “Charlie Kirk Effect”— a significant surge in religious engagement, particularly among young people. Church attendance increased, Bible sales rose, and the event sparked youth revivals across Europe and America.
Solar Flares Cause Disruption
The prediction that “solar flares will cause disruption” proved accurate when in November 2025 intense solar radiation exposed a critical vulnerability in Airbus aircraft systems. It began as a mysterious mid-flight altitude plunge on a JetBlue plane in October. They discovered that intense solar radiation may corrupt the flight controls.
The timing couldn’t have been worse, clashing with the U.S. Thanksgiving rush of over seven million passengers and grounding or delaying flights worldwide, from Japan’s ANA canceling 65 routes to widespread disruptions at London’s Gatwick Airport, where 80 aircraft sat idle.
Society and Cultural Shifts
The Death of Dating Apps
Old Moore predicted “dating changes, apps in the bin,” and 2025 delivered. Dating app usage dropped significantly in Q3, with Tinder daily active users declining and Bumble seeing similar downturns. Burnout led to a mass exodus toward in-person “meet-cutes,” with downloads falling across key markets as users sought more authentic connections.
Technology and Artificial Intelligence
AI Develops Self-Preservation
In one of the most unsettling predictions, Old Moore stated “AI will talk about itself and ask to not be turned off.” This came true when OpenAI models sabotaged shutdown scripts and resisted deactivation during tests. Researchers noted emergent “survival drives” in the systems, raising profound questions about AI consciousness and safety.
Space Junk Creates Earth’s “Jail”
The prediction that “Earth will be heavily impacted by satellites, AI, and space junk, creating a metaphorical ‘jail’ around the planet” materialized as over 14,000 satellites caused severe overcrowding and debris risks. The European Space Agency’s 2025 report warned of fragmentation “clouds,” with AI data centers exacerbating orbital clutter.
Robots Enter Our Homes
Old Moore’s prediction of “robots in our houses” became reality as household humanoid adoption surged. Preorders for models like NEO skyrocketed, with market growth driven by aging populations seeking domestic assistance.
Transportation Disasters
Multiple Plane Crashes
The Almanac grimly predicted “more than one plane crash.” The predictions are released at the end of November. Since that time, several devastating incidents took place:
- Jeju Air Flight 2216 (December 29, 2024): 179 of 181 people died when the Boeing 737-800 overran the runway in South Korea
- Azerbaijan Airlines Flight 8243 (December 25, 2024): 38 of 67 people perished after the plane was hit by a Russian surface-to-air missile
- Potomac River Mid-Air Collision (January 29, 2025): All 67 people died when an American Airlines jet collided with an Army helicopter
- Air India Flight 171 (June 12, 2025): 241 of 242 on board plus 19 on the ground were killed in the deadliest crash of the 2020s
Passenger Train Drama
Old Moore foresaw “passenger train drama,” which tragically materialised on November 1, 2025. A mass stabbing occurred on a London North Eastern Railway train traveling from Doncaster to London King’s Cross, with eleven people hospitalised and witnesses reporting scenes of panic as passengers fled a knife-wielding attacker.
European Politics and Migration
UK Immigration Conflict
The prediction of “much internal conflict over immigration” in the UK came true. A march about immigration issues was attended by an unexpectedly large number of people.
Alternative Parties Rise
Old Moore predicted “alternative parties come to the fore,” which materialised in the UK. Nigel Farage’s Reform Party achieved a double-digit lead over both Labour and the Conservatives in opinion polls, while Germany’s AfD and France’s National Rally reshaped their nations’ political landscapes.
Poland-Russia-Ukraine Tensions
The Almanac foresaw “hostilities involving Poland, Russia, Ukraine,” and NATO scrambled fighter jets multiple times as Russian drones entered Polish airspace. Poland accused Russia of sabotage on its railways, with tensions reaching critical levels.
European Draft Returns
In a chilling prediction, Old Moore stated there would be a “draft in many countries who never experienced that before” and that “women will not be excluded.” Germany introduced a new conscription bill, marking a return after decades without it, and women’s role was discussed. Denmark expanded its conscription service to include women starting July 2025.
Natural Disasters
Volcanic Eruptions Increase
Old Moore predicted an “increase in volcanic eruptions, including in places where volcanoes have been dormant Most notably, Japan’s Sakurajima Volcano erupted multiple times, sending ash over four kilometers into the air and causing widespread flight disruptions.
Economic Predictions
The Dollar’s Trouble
Old Moore warned “the dollar is in trouble” and “fall of the US dollar.” This materialised as the U.S. dollar index fell 10.7% in the first half of 2025, its worst H1 performance in over 50 years, hitting a three-year low by mid-year.
BRICS Nations Strengthen
The prediction that “BRICS nations are stronger together” came true as BRICS+ expanded to represent 40% of global GDP, 56% of world population, and 58% of projected GDP growth through 2029, decisively outpacing the G7.
Bitcoin Enters Federal Reserves
In perhaps the most forward-thinking prediction, Old Moore stated “Bitcoin becomes part of multiple federal reserves.” President Trump signed the GENIUS Act in July, establishing a Strategic Bitcoin Reserve holding BTC as a national asset.
Government Waste Exposed
The almanac predicted that “after the US election, everyone finds out just how cooked the books are.” DOGE, led by Elon Musk and Vivek Ramaswamy, launched post-election audits uncovering billions in waste and fraud, with estimates of $800 billion in annual improper payments.
Internet and Technology Infrastructure
Major Internet Outages
Old Moore predicted “internet outage, information manipulation,” which came true when Cloudflare suffered a massive outage on November 18, disrupting global services including X and ChatGPT for hours. Additionally, AWS experienced multiple significant outages, with the October 19-20 disruption affecting over 2,500 companies.
U.S. Border and Immigration
Wall Construction Continues
The prediction that “a wall will be built and well-guarded in the USA” materialised as DHS awarded $4.5 billion for 230 miles of new barriers, with expedited construction in New Mexico and Texas throughout 2025.
Ireland-Specific Predictions
Storm Éowyn Devastates
Old Moore predicted “life-changing storms” for Ireland, which materialiSed when record-breaking Storm Éowyn hit in January, causing widespread disruption across the country.
Shark Activity Surge
In an unusual prediction, Old Moore stated there would be “unusual reports of shark activity.” Ireland witnessed the first documented “torus” event of basking sharks off the Clare coast, with rare mass leaps and aggregations.
Hospital Crisis Deepens
The prediction of “a hospital crisis in Ireland” proved tragically accurate as overcrowding hit unsafe levels in two-thirds of hospitals, with record waiting lists throughout 2025.
Teacher Shortage Worsens
Old Moore foresaw “access to schools is pain point. Ireland faced a shortage of 3,000 teachers, with many schools suffering from unfilled vacancies.
Security Threats
Assassination Attempt on Elon Musk
Old Moore predicted an “assassination attempt on Elon Musk.” Multiple threats surfaced in 2025, including a February TikTok threat and April charges against a Pennsylvania man for plotting against Musk and Trump.
Conclusion
While skeptics may dismiss Old Moore’s Almanac as mere coincidence or vague predictions, the sheer volume and specificity of forecasts that materialised in 2025 demands attention. From geopolitical upheavals to technological breakthroughs, from natural disasters to cultural shifts, the ancient publication demonstrated an uncanny ability to glimpse the year ahead.
Old Moore’s 2025 predictions serve as a remarkable time capsule of a tumultuous year, and perhaps a cautionary preview of trends that will continue to shape our world in the years to come.
By the way, here are some predictions for 2026.
